Werder Bremen 2-0 Fagiano Okayama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Jul 2026

Werder Bremen
2-0 HT 1-0
Fagiano Okayama
📅22/07/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Werder Bremen vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.34
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.39
2-3 Goals
40%
2.11
4-5 Goals
28%
2.42
6+ Goals
13%
4.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.57
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
17.65
X/1
18%
4.1
X/2
9%
15.1
X/X
5%
8.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
17.85
2/2
6%
11.05
2/X
5%
19.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.85 — our 9% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-4.5pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.1pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.3pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Werder Bremen v Fagiano Okayama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 17%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.20/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-5% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -36%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
458 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards –

Werder Bremen 2-0 Fagiano Okayama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
2-0
AWAY Fagiano Okayama
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Fagiano Okayama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen saw off Fagiano Okayama 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Werder Bremen as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 14-19.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Fagiano Okayama?

Werder Bremen 2-0 Fagiano Okayama in the Friendlies on 22/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Fagiano Okayama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 65%, draw 16%, Fagiano Okayama 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
22 Jul 2026
13:00 Nottingham Forest vs Blackburn Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Schalke 04 Analysis →
17:00 Bologna vs Heidenheim Analysis →
18:00 Palermo vs Paradiso Analysis →
18:00 Sassuolo vs Padova Analysis →
18:30 Torino vs Alcione Analysis →