HK Kopavogur 3-2 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.17
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+17.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-17.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.6pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
0.98/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.20
-9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
19.2 Crosses 31.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK Kopavogur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.62 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
241 Passes 379
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.05.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
06.02.2024 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-3 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
13.07.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
03.05.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
18.02.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 6-1 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZLK
16.08.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HK Kopavogur
3-2
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.54 xG 2.60
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
191 Passes 464
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 35
21 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HK Kopavogur vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur nicked a narrow win over KR Reykjavik 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KR Reykjavik at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, HK Kopavogur had 34% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 66%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 1.54 to 2.60 — on chances, KR Reykjavik could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HK Kopavogur and 2.00 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of HK Kopavogur vs KR Reykjavik?

HK Kopavogur 3-2 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK Kopavogur vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split HK Kopavogur 26%, draw 23%, KR Reykjavik 51%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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