Aluminium Arak 1-1 Nassaji Mazandaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.7
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.26
Over 2.5
28%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.75
No
66%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
1.68
2-3 Goals
30%
1.99
4-5 Goals
16%
9.43
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
34%
-5.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
72%
Under 2.5
76%
-4.2pp
28%
Over 2.5
24%
+4.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+1.6pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
0.97/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.02
-14% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.03.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-0 HT 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
09.02.2024 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRANK
17.10.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
14.04.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
21.02.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRANK
28.10.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 3-0 HT 2-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Nassaji Mazandaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak and Nassaji Mazandaran shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Aluminium Arak at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aluminium Arak had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aluminium Arak and 0.00 for Nassaji Mazandaran.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Aluminium Arak 1-1 Nassaji Mazandaran in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminium Arak win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 42%, draw 28%, Nassaji Mazandaran 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aluminium Arak), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aluminium Arak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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