River Plate 2-1 Talleres Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
14%
4.49
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 37% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.08
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.65
X/1
14%
3.61
X/2
6%
11.15
X/X
18%
4.38
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
10%
9.95
2/X
8%
17.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.7pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.9pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+8.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-8.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.02/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.62
-4% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -31%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
382 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
22.6 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Talleres Cordoba
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
379 Passes 229
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2024 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate LKU
03.03.2024 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-2 HT 0-2 River Plate River Plate ARJ
08.10.2023 River Plate River Plate 1-0 HT 1-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
21.07.2023 River Plate River Plate 0-1 HT 0-1 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJK
15.05.2023 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-1 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
25.09.2022 River Plate River Plate 0-1 HT 0-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
2-1
AWAY Talleres Cordoba
1.22 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
288 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Talleres Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate squeezed past Talleres Cordoba 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, River Plate had 48% of the ball to Talleres Cordoba's 52%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.22 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Talleres Cordoba led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for River Plate and 1.00 for Talleres Cordoba.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Talleres Cordoba?

River Plate 2-1 Talleres Cordoba in the Copa Libertadores on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Talleres Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split River Plate 46%, draw 34%, Talleres Cordoba 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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