Unionistas 2-5 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Aug 2025

Unionistas
2-5 HT 0-3
Merida AD
📅22/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Unionistas vs Merida AD Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.78
Over 2.5
35%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+12.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-12.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Unionistas v Merida AD — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unionistas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Unionistas vs Merida AD Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unionistas
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
18.02.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 0-1 HT 0-1 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
24.09.2022 Merida AD Merida AD 1-1 HT 0-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
POST-MATCH Unionistas vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD swept aside Unionistas 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Merida AD found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Merida AD led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Unionistas and 1.00 for Merida AD.

What was the final score of Unionistas vs Merida AD?

Unionistas 2-5 Merida AD in the Friendlies on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unionistas vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated an Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Unionistas 30%, draw 31%, Merida AD 39%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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