Cartagena 4-1 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 34%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.20/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.76
-88% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
501 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Eldense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.75 xG 1.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
240 Passes 311
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Cartagena Cartagena 0-1 HT 0-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
01.09.2024 Eldense Eldense 1-2 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
15.03.2024 Eldense Eldense 0-0 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
13.08.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 0-1 HT 0-1 Eldense Eldense İS2
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena swept aside Eldense 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cartagena as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Eldense led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cartagena and 0.75 for Eldense.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Eldense?

Cartagena 4-1 Eldense in the Friendlies on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 41%, draw 30%, Eldense 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cartagena), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cartagena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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