Cartagena 0-1 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.4
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
11%
7.65
X/2
18%
4.43
X/X
14%
4.12
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
13%
2.78
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 51%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-34% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Eldense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.75 xG 1.22
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
229 Passes 283
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Eldense Eldense 1-2 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
15.03.2024 Eldense Eldense 0-0 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
13.08.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 0-1 HT 0-1 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
0-1
AWAY Eldense
0.76 xG 1.47
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
271 Passes 395
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense edged past Cartagena 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Eldense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Cartagena had 42% of the ball to Eldense's 58%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.76 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cartagena and 0.67 for Eldense.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Eldense?

Cartagena 0-1 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 32%, draw 28%, Eldense 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eldense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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