Sporting Gijon vs Tenerife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Gijon v Tenerife — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Gijon vs Tenerife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Tenerife
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Tenerife
İS2
1-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Gijon
İS2
1-2
HT 0-0
Tenerife
İS2
Sporting Gijon 1-3 Tenerife — Actual Match Statistics
Tenerife beat Sporting Gijon 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting Gijon at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sporting Gijon had 49% of the ball to Tenerife's 51%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.09 to 0.89.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Gijon and 1.00 for Tenerife.
What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Tenerife?
Sporting Gijon 1-3 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Tenerife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 49%, draw 28%, Tenerife 23%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.