Eibar 1-1 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
6.39
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.57
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
19%
4.81
X/2
11%
6.36
X/X
14%
3.34
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
13%
5.46
2/X
8%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -14%
1.29/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.17
+19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
24.0 Crosses 19.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
378 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
12.06.2024 Eibar Eibar 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
08.06.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
02.06.2024 Eibar Eibar 4-3 HT 2-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
19.11.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-1 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
01.04.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
1-1
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.31 xG 0.52
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
339 Passes 226
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 17
31 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar and Real Oviedo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Eibar at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Eibar had 59% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 41%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.31 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eibar and 1.50 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Real Oviedo?

Eibar 1-1 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eibar 41%, draw 29%, Real Oviedo 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Eibar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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