Real Oviedo 1-0 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.59
Over 2.5
33%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
4.83
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.47 — our 38% vs market 34.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
12%
4.37
X/2
10%
7.55
X/X
14%
3.73
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
12%
6.18
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+7.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-7.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.2pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.26/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.27
+2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
23.5 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Eibar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.14
47% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 Passes 390
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.06.2024 Eibar Eibar 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
08.06.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
02.06.2024 Eibar Eibar 4-3 HT 2-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
19.11.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-1 HT 0-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
01.04.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
11.12.2022 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-0
AWAY Eibar
1.07 xG 0.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
297 Passes 394
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo edged past Eibar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Oviedo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 44% of the ball to Eibar's 56%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.07 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.17 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Eibar?

Real Oviedo 1-0 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 41%, draw 31%, Eibar 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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