Levante 4-2 Almeria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.15
Over 2.5
41%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.55
No
56%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
4.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.09
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 34% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.04
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.15
X/1
12%
5.25
X/2
11%
6.64
X/X
12%
5.06
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
18%
4.25
2/X
8%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
43%
+16.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
57%
-16.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.9pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.57/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.32
+18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
19.3 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Almeria
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
273 Passes 263
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 6
25.07.2019 Levante Levante 2-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria HAZ
22.07.2017 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria HAZ
19.03.2017 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
09.10.2016 Almeria Almeria 2-2 HT 1-0 Levante Levante İS2
04.04.2015 Almeria Almeria 1-4 HT 0-2 Levante Levante İS1
02.11.2014 Levante Levante 2-1 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
4-2
AWAY Almeria
1.94 xG 1.43
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
375 Passes 480
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Levante vs Almeria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante saw off Almeria 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Levante made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levante had 44% of the ball to Almeria's 56%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.94 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Levante and 0.83 for Almeria.

What was the final score of Levante vs Almeria?

Levante 4-2 Almeria in the Spain - 2nd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Almeria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Levante 36%, draw 29%, Almeria 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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