Cordoba 3-1 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 29 Sep 2024

Cordoba
3-1 HT 1-0
Racing Ferrol
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Cordoba vs Racing Ferrol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
20.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.32
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.7
X/1
17%
3.8
X/2
11%
8.92
X/X
7%
4.54
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
8%
7.5
2/X
6%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cordoba v Racing Ferrol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cordoba EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.11/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.34
+34% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.1 Crosses 21.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Cordoba vs Racing Ferrol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cordoba
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
03.05.2023 Cordoba Cordoba 1-2 HT 1-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
22.10.2022 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS3
08.06.2008 Cordoba Cordoba 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
13.01.2008 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-1 HT 0-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
23.04.2005 Cordoba Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
21.11.2004 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 0-0 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2

Cordoba 3-1 Racing Ferrol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cordoba
3-1
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.25 xG 0.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
275 Passes 167
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cordoba vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cordoba saw off Racing Ferrol 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cordoba had 58% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 42%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.25 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cordoba and 0.83 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Cordoba vs Racing Ferrol?

Cordoba 3-1 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cordoba vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cordoba 48%, draw 25%, Racing Ferrol 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cordoba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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