CD Castellon 2-1 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 29 Sep 2024

CD Castellon
2-1 HT 1-0
Tenerife
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

CD Castellon vs Tenerife Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.28
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 26% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
18%
4.05
X/2
12%
9.22
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
11%
7.2
2/X
6%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CD Castellon v Tenerife — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 24%
-32% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.56/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.32
-76% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 69%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
18.3 Crosses 14.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

CD Castellon vs Tenerife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tenerife
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 1.62
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
402 Passes 269
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
25.04.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
06.01.2021 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-2 HT 0-2 Tenerife Tenerife İSPK
03.01.2021 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-1 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
21.06.2009 Tenerife Tenerife 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
24.01.2009 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-2 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
16.03.2008 Tenerife Tenerife 2-1 HT 2-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2

CD Castellon 2-1 Tenerife — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
2-1
AWAY Tenerife
2.38 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
233 Passes 252
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon squeezed past Tenerife 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CD Castellon had 50% of the ball to Tenerife's 50%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.38 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Castellon and 1.50 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Tenerife?

CD Castellon 2-1 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 47%, draw 24%, Tenerife 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✗ BTTS No
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