Real Madrid II 1-1 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.67/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.46
-59% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alcorcon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 2-1 HT 2-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
20.10.2024 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
05.02.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-1 HT 1-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
02.10.2022 Alcorcon Alcorcon 4-1 HT 3-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
26.01.2014 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
24.08.2013 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 0-1 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
1-1
AWAY Alcorcon
71% Ball Possession 29%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II and Alcorcon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 71% of the ball to Alcorcon's 29%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Madrid II and 1.50 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon?

Real Madrid II 1-1 Alcorcon in the Friendlies on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 40%, draw 30%, Alcorcon 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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