Real Madrid II 2-1 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.92
6+ Goals
11%
18.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.92 — our 26% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.7pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.91/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.69
+20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alcorcon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
05.02.2023 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 1-1 HT 1-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
02.10.2022 Alcorcon Alcorcon 4-1 HT 3-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3
26.01.2014 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS2
24.08.2013 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 0-1 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
02.06.2013 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II 4-0 HT 2-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
2-1
AWAY Alcorcon
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II edged past Alcorcon 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 53% of the ball to Alcorcon's 47%, shots finished 4-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Madrid II and 1.33 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon?

Real Madrid II 2-1 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 48%, draw 26%, Alcorcon 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
22 Feb 2025
18:00 Ourense CF vs Gimnastic Tarragona Analysis →
18:00 Recreativo Huelva vs Antequera Analysis →
18:00 Ceuta vs Real Betis II Analysis →
20:00 Sestao River vs Amorebieta Analysis →
20:00 Cultural Leonesa vs Celta Vigo II Analysis →
20:00 Alcoyano vs Yeclano Analysis →