Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Widzew Lodz v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals
Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Widzew Lodz 1-2 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Szczecin edged past Widzew Lodz 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Widzew Lodz at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The market had leaned harder still (1.89, ~53%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.67, roughly 60%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 54% to 46% in Widzew Lodz's favour, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.08 to 0.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured Widzew Lodz.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Widzew Lodz against 2.50 for Pogon Szczecin.
Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin Result & Final Score
Widzew Lodz 1-2 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 43%, draw 26%, Pogon Szczecin 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Widzew Lodz), Under 2.5 went the other way.