Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932 Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chaves v Felgueiras 1932 — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Chaves
POK
Chaves 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 — Actual Match Statistics
Chaves and Felgueiras 1932 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Chaves at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Chaves had 50% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 50%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 1.43 to 1.26.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chaves and 1.00 for Felgueiras 1932.
What was the final score of Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932?
Chaves 1-1 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chaves 43%, draw 25%, Felgueiras 1932 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chaves) went the other way.