Chaves 2-0 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.44
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.38/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.40
+5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.4 Crosses 15.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.19 xG 0.51
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
182 Passes 104
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-2 HT 1-1 Chaves Chaves POR2
25.09.2021 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 2-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
2-0
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
2.12 xG 0.54
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 2
333 Passes 67
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves beat Felgueiras 1932 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Chaves made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Chaves had 63% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 37%, shots finished 16-1, expected goals 2.12 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chaves and 1.50 for Felgueiras 1932.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932?

Chaves 2-0 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chaves 38%, draw 25%, Felgueiras 1932 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaves), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chaves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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