Paços De Ferreira 1-2 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 15 Feb 2025

Paços De Ferreira
1-2 HT 0-2
CD Feirense
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.22
6+ Goals
7%
21.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 34% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paços De Ferreira v CD Feirense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -21%
1.56/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.27
-1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
27.0 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paços De Ferreira
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CD Feirense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
304 Passes 269
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-0 HT 2-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
26.02.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
01.10.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR2
19.12.2018 CD Feirense CD Feirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POK
29.01.2018 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR
21.08.2017 CD Feirense CD Feirense 2-1 HT 1-1 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira POR

Paços De Ferreira 1-2 CD Feirense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
1-2
AWAY CD Feirense
1.72 xG 0.95
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 8
348 Passes 165
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
45 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Feirense squeezed past Paços De Ferreira 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day CD Feirense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 62% of the ball to CD Feirense's 38%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.72 to 0.95 — the balance of chances actually favoured Paços De Ferreira.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Feirense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paços De Ferreira and 1.00 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense?

Paços De Ferreira 1-2 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 38%, draw 30%, CD Feirense 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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