Domzale 0-2 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 22 Aug 2025

📅22/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 31% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.2pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.17/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.74
-1% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Aluminij
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 1-3 HT 0-3 Domzale Domzale SLVN
16.03.2024 Domzale Domzale 2-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
06.12.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 0-5 HT 0-2 Domzale Domzale SLVN
22.09.2023 Domzale Domzale 2-1 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
01.05.2022 Domzale Domzale 3-1 HT 2-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
01.03.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 1-1 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
0-2
AWAY Aluminij
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij saw off Domzale 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aluminij as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Domzale had 50% of the ball to Aluminij's 50%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Domzale had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Domzale and 0.67 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Aluminij?

Domzale 0-2 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 22/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Domzale 31%, draw 22%, Aluminij 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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