Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Japan - J1 League, 22 Aug 2026

📅22/08/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.12
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.78 xG 1.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
255 Passes 264
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 4-2 HT 2-2 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP
29.04.2025 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
26.08.2023 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-3 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
11.06.2023 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-2 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
23.10.2022 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-0 HT 1-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
01.05.2022 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 2-1 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
PREVIEW Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Fagiano Okayama edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

Fagiano Okayama's defence has been shut tight at home — 4 clean sheets in their last 5 league games there, and over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Tokyo Verdy's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy lead the recent series with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Fagiano Okayama against 2.00 for Tokyo Verdy.

Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy Kick-off Time

Fagiano Okayama play Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 22/08/2026, kick-off 12:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy is a Fagiano Okayama win at about 49% probability, priced 2.12 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Fagiano Okayama 49%, draw 26%, Tokyo Verdy 25%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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