Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tokyo Verdy v Fagiano Okayama — Team-Based Signals
Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-0
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
1-2
HT 0-0
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
2-0
HT 1-0
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
2-1
HT 0-0
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
1-2
HT 0-1
Fagiano Okayama
JAP2
Tokyo Verdy 4-2 Fagiano Okayama — Actual Match Statistics
Tokyo Verdy beat Fagiano Okayama 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Tokyo Verdy as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 44% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 56%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.74 to 0.83.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.33 for Fagiano Okayama.
What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama?
Tokyo Verdy 4-2 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 43%, draw 29%, Fagiano Okayama 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.