Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nagoya Grampus v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals
Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Shonan Bellmare
JAP
2-1
HT 2-0
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
2-2
HT 1-0
Shonan Bellmare
JAP
0-0
HT 0-0
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics
Nagoya Grampus beat Shonan Bellmare 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nagoya Grampus as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 37% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 63%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 2.19 to 2.67 — on chances, Shonan Bellmare could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shonan Bellmare led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.17 for Shonan Bellmare.
What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare?
Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 53%, draw 24%, Shonan Bellmare 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.