Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 31% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.54
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
5.51
X/2
16%
5.81
X/X
11%
4.74
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.84
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +25%
1.16/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.16
+5% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.1 Crosses 18.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
0W-6D-0L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.97 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 Passes 332
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
17.08.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
22.06.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-2 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
28.10.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
04.06.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
03.09.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-2 HT 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
0-1
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.91 xG 0.61
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
447 Passes 208
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers nicked a narrow win over Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Kashima Antlers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 65% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 35%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.91 to 0.61 — on chances, Urawa Red Diamonds could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.83 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers?

Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 39%, draw 24%, Kashima Antlers 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Under 2.5
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