Kashima Antlers 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Mar 2025

Kashima Antlers
1-1 HT 0-1
Urawa Red Diamonds
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 37% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.72
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
8%
5.42
X/2
12%
5.8
X/X
22%
4.11
2/1
10%
30.5
2/2
13%
4.14
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.4pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kashima Antlers v Urawa Red Diamonds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.14/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.13
+3% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.9 Crosses 16.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.9

Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
0W-6D-0L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.82 xG 0.91
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 388
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
22.06.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-2 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
28.10.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
04.06.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
03.09.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-2 HT 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
21.05.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP

Kashima Antlers 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
1-1
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.55 xG 1.91
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
393 Passes 259
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 22
33 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers and Urawa Red Diamonds shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 60% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 40%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.55 to 1.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.83 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Kashima Antlers 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 36%, draw 32%, Urawa Red Diamonds 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
16 Mar 2025
07:00 Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →
08:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol Analysis →
08:00 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Gamba Osaka Analysis →
08:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
09:00 Shonan Bellmare vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →