Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.25
6+ Goals
11%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.55
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
13%
5.99
X/2
15%
5.0
X/X
12%
4.13
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.44
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.37/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.12
-8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
20.2 Crosses 20.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
279 Passes 303
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-0 HT 2-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
20.04.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
28.10.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
29.04.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-0 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
12.10.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
21.05.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-1 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1-2
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.53 xG 0.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 0
404 Passes 323
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe nicked a narrow win over Shonan Bellmare 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 55% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 45%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.53 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.50 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Vissel Kobe?

Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 29%, draw 26%, Vissel Kobe 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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