Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Mar 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-1 HT 0-0
Kashiwa Reysol
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.45 — our 36% vs market 33.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.77
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
18%
4.4
X/2
10%
7.49
X/X
14%
4.01
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
6.26
2/X
8%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -9%
1.34/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.23
-2% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
22.5 Crosses 15.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.89 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 266
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
22.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
26.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
19.03.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
14.08.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-3 HT 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
03.05.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.66 xG 1.62
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 Passes 499
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 35
23 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kashiwa Reysol couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 40% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 60%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.66 to 1.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.67 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 46%, draw 28%, Kashiwa Reysol 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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