Fagiano Okayama 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
42%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
8%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.85
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1 EV+ ✗
14%
8.51
X/2
12%
4.35
X/X
14%
4.57
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.44
2/X
5%
13.6
Value flag · X/1 at 8.51 — our 14% vs market 8.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+8.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-8.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 55%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.46/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.06
+49% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 83%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
21.0 Crosses 16.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 39
3 Shots on Target 16
2 Corners 10
14.08.2019 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
0-0
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.51 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
264 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 21
33 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama and Kawasaki Frontale fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 47% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 53%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.51 to 0.96.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Fagiano Okayama 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 32%, draw 27%, Kawasaki Frontale 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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