Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.89
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.39
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
17%
4.88
X/2
10%
6.41
X/X
11%
3.84
2/1
10%
32.0
2/2
14%
5.13
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -28%
1.42/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.25
-6% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.9 Crosses 17.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 1.48
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
332 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
16.06.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
11.11.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 2-1 HT 2-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
23.04.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-2 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
02.07.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
06.04.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
2-1
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.52 xG 0.66
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
296 Passes 371
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 8
9 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare squeezed past Nagoya Grampus 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shonan Bellmare as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 44% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 56%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.52 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.17 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus?

Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 43%, draw 27%, Nagoya Grampus 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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