Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.32
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.93
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
11%
5.24
X/2
11%
5.71
X/X
15%
3.68
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
16%
4.48
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
0.93/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.23
-32% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 80%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.0 Crosses 16.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.70 xG 1.72
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
216 Passes 537
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.11.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
30.03.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
25.11.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-3 HT 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
04.11.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 2-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
20.05.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
05.11.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-0
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.08 xG 0.73
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
316 Passes 407
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka nicked a narrow win over Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Avispa Fukuoka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 44% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 56%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.08 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.00 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 38%, draw 28%, Urawa Red Diamonds 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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