Vissel Kobe 0-1 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.73
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.93
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
16%
4.54
X/2
13%
7.34
X/X
15%
3.95
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
7%
6.11
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -18%
1.36/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.30
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 74%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
20.3 Crosses 15.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.34 xG 1.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 Passes 451
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-3 HT 2-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
06.05.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-2 HT 2-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
07.07.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
09.04.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
30.09.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-2 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
31.05.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
0-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.01 xG 0.54
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
514 Passes 285
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata squeezed past Vissel Kobe 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 62% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 38%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.01 to 0.54 — on chances, Vissel Kobe could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vissel Kobe and 0.67 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Albirex Niigata?

Vissel Kobe 0-1 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 46%, draw 27%, Albirex Niigata 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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