Albirex Niigata 2-3 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
47%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
16.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.27
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
6%
8.13
X/2
12%
4.35
X/X
12%
4.33
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.57
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
47%
Away Win
48%
-1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 52%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.32/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.09
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
16.3 Crosses 22.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 1.03
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
421 Passes 336
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-2 HT 2-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
07.07.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
09.04.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
30.09.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-2 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
31.05.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JLK
04.03.2017 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
2-3
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.18 xG 2.30
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
381 Passes 351
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe nicked a narrow win over Albirex Niigata 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 51% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 49%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.18 to 2.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Albirex Niigata and 1.50 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Vissel Kobe?

Albirex Niigata 2-3 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 24%, draw 29%, Vissel Kobe 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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