Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Sep 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6-2 HT 3-2
Yokohama F. Marinos
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.75
2-3 Goals
43%
2.04
4-5 Goals
24%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.85
X/1
19%
3.99
X/2
8%
12.55
X/X
8%
7.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.6
2/2
12%
8.5
2/X
4%
16.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.6 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Yokohama F. Marinos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
1.68/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.07
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
25.4 Crosses 21.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.33 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 Passes 404
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.06.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-2 HT 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
24.06.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
03.03.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
10.08.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 HT 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
03.08.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JLK
06.07.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6-2 Yokohama F. Marinos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6-2
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.94 xG 1.24
36% Ball Possession 64%
22 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
249 Passes 521
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima cruised past Yokohama F. Marinos 6-2. Half-time: 3-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 36% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 64%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 1.94 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.67 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6-2 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 52%, draw 22%, Yokohama F. Marinos 26%. The final score 6-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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