Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Uruguay - Premier League, 22 Aug 2026

Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
vs
Cerro
📅22/08/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Uruguay - Premier League – 2026

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.64
Draw
18%
3.54
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Cerro — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Season & Recent Form vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored and conceded
  • Attack & Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cerro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.07.2026 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
21.02.2026 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
24.08.2025 Cerro Cerro 2-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
25.05.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
22.02.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
30.11.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-3 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
PREVIEW Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

On our read, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at home is the clear lean — the question is whether the price already knows it.

Goals against Liverpool FC (Montevideo) have dried up: 4 clean sheets in their last 5 home league outings.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.17 for Cerro.

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Kick-off Time

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) play Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/08/2026, kick-off 01:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro is a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win at about 62% probability, priced 1.64 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 62%, draw 18%, Cerro 20%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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