Cerro 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
0.88/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.01
-21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Cerro Cerro 2-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
25.05.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
22.02.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
30.11.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-3 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
21.07.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
03.06.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-3 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
1-1
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro and Liverpool FC (Montevideo) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Cerro had 34% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 66%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cerro and 1.00 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Cerro vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Cerro 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cerro 28%, draw 29%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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