Cerro vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals
Cerro vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Cerro
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
Cerro 1-3 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics
Liverpool FC (Montevideo) saw off Cerro 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Liverpool FC (Montevideo) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cerro had 37% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 63%, shots finished 12-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cerro and 0.50 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).
What was the final score of Cerro vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Cerro 1-3 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cerro 35%, draw 32%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.