Cerro Largo vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro Largo v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Cerro Largo vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Cerro Largo
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Progreso
URU
1-2
HT 1-1
Cerro Largo
URU
0-1
HT 0-1
Cerro Largo
URU
Cerro Largo nicked a narrow win over Progreso 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cerro Largo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro Largo and 0.17 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Cerro Largo 2-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 49%, draw 28%, Progreso 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Largo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.