Racing Club Montevideo 4-0 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
0.96/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.98
-19% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
219 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Danubio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
18.06.2025 Danubio Danubio 1-2 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
03.05.2025 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
17.11.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
19.05.2024 Danubio Danubio 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
14.10.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
4-0
AWAY Danubio
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo cruised past Danubio 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Racing Club Montevideo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 57% of the ball to Danubio's 43%, shots finished 17-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 0.50 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Danubio?

Racing Club Montevideo 4-0 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 40%, draw 30%, Danubio 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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