Trelleborgs FF 1-1 Skövde AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.57
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.54
2-3 Goals
46%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
21%
4.06
X/2
8%
11.0
X/X
14%
5.87
2/1
7%
21.3
2/2
9%
7.92
2/X EV+ ✓
10%
15.2
Value flag · 2/X at 15.2 — our 10% vs market 3.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
59%
-16.2pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.2pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.40/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.61
-23% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Skövde AIK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 1-0 HT 1-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
05.11.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-2 HT 1-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
20.05.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 2-3 HT 0-2 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
08.10.2022 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 3-1 HT 1-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
25.07.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-1 HT 0-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
22.06.2014 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 3-2 HT 3-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ3
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs Skövde AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF and Skövde AIK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trelleborgs FF at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skövde AIK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 2.00 for Skövde AIK.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs Skövde AIK?

Trelleborgs FF 1-1 Skövde AIK in the Sweden - Superettan on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs Skövde AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trelleborgs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 43%, draw 33%, Skövde AIK 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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