Motala AIF FK 2-0 Vanersborgs FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motala AIF FK EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Vanersborgs FK EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +25%
2.53/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.39
+19% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motala AIF FK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vanersborgs FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.06.2024 Vanersborgs FK Vanersborgs FK 2-2 HT 1-1 Motala AIF FK Motala AIF FK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Motala AIF FK vs Vanersborgs FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motala AIF FK saw off Vanersborgs FK 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Motala AIF FK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Motala AIF FK vs Vanersborgs FK?

Motala AIF FK 2-0 Vanersborgs FK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motala AIF FK vs Vanersborgs FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motala AIF FK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Motala AIF FK 53%, draw 24%, Vanersborgs FK 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motala AIF FK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motala AIF FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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