Inter Milano (K) 1-1 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.5pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.9pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.26/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-25% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
490 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.8 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Milano (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.34 xG 0.58
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
413 Passes 187
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
25 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
18.02.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 2-1 HT 2-1 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
1-1
AWAY AC Milan (K)
2.13 xG 1.01
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
343 Passes 198
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) and AC Milan (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Milano (K) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 61% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 39%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.13 to 1.01.

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 1-1 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 52%, draw 19%, AC Milan (K) 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Milano (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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