St. Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
54%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.36
2-3 Goals
34%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.96
6+ Goals
13%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.42
1/2
6%
21.4
1/X
5%
15.05
X/1
8%
10.25
X/2
18%
4.08
X/X
13%
5.75
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.06
2/X
5%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
54%
Away Win
55%
-1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 60%
-22% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
0.71/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.05
-38% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
Crosses 16.2
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli
3W-0D-1L
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
177 Passes 349
57% Pass Accuracy 74%
12.02.2016 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-0 HT 1-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL2
23.08.2015 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
03.05.2015 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-0 HT 1-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL2
23.11.2014 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-1 HT 2-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
0-0
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.38 xG 0.66
31% Ball Possession 69%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
231 Passes 654
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
41 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli and RB Leipzig fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was RB Leipzig at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, St. Pauli had 31% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 69%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.38 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, St. Pauli had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Pauli and 1.00 for RB Leipzig.

What was the final score of St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig?

St. Pauli 0-0 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 23%, draw 23%, RB Leipzig 54%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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