Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stuttgart v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Borussia Dortmund
AFK
2-1
HT 1-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
3-3
HT 0-2
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
5-0
HT 3-0
Stuttgart
AL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
Stuttgart 5-1 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
Stuttgart cruised past Borussia Dortmund 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Stuttgart had 52% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 48%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 3.39 to 0.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stuttgart and 1.83 for Borussia Dortmund.
What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
Stuttgart 5-1 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 43%, draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund 34%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.