Chapecoense vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Avai — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
1-4
HT 0-1
Chapecoense
BR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BRCAT1
0-1
HT 0-0
Chapecoense
BRCAT1
1-1
HT 0-0
Avai
BRCAT1
Chapecoense 1-0 Avai — Actual Match Statistics
Chapecoense nicked a narrow win over Avai 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Chapecoense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Chapecoense had 38% of the ball to Avai's 62%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.49 to 1.36 — on chances, Avai could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chapecoense had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chapecoense and 0.33 for Avai.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Avai?
Chapecoense 1-0 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Avai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 38%, draw 34%, Avai 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chapecoense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.