Ituano vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ituano v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Ituano vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Ituano 0-1 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba edged past Ituano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Coritiba found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ituano had 49% of the ball to Coritiba's 51%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.47 to 0.38 — on chances, Ituano could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Ituano vs Coritiba?
Ituano 0-1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ituano vs Coritiba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ituano win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ituano 37%, draw 30%, Coritiba 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ituano) went the other way.