Al Masry 3-2 Al Hilal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.68
Over
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
47%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal The Market 15%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.67/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.29
-15% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -29%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
25.0 Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Al Hilal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry edged past Al Hilal 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Masry as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Al Hilal?

Al Masry 3-2 Al Hilal in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Al Hilal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 53%, draw 28%, Al Hilal 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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