Simba vs Al Ahli Tripoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Simba v Al Ahli Tripoli — Team-Based Signals
Simba 3-1 Al Ahli Tripoli — Actual Match Statistics
Simba beat Al Ahli Tripoli 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Simba as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Simba had 56% of the ball to Al Ahli Tripoli's 44%, shots finished 7-5.
What was the final score of Simba vs Al Ahli Tripoli?
Simba 3-1 Al Ahli Tripoli in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Simba vs Al Ahli Tripoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Simba 53%, draw 29%, Al Ahli Tripoli 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Simba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.