USM Alger 2-0 Stade Tunisien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
63%
Over
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No Pick
64%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
45%
4-5
15%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Alger The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Tunisien The Market 14%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-8% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.4 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Alger
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade Tunisien
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 1-0 HT 0-0 USM Alger USM Alger CAFKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Alger
2-0
AWAY Stade Tunisien
74% Ball Possession 26%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH USM Alger vs Stade Tunisien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Alger saw off Stade Tunisien 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had USM Alger as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, USM Alger had 74% of the ball to Stade Tunisien's 26%, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of USM Alger vs Stade Tunisien?

USM Alger 2-0 Stade Tunisien in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Alger vs Stade Tunisien?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split USM Alger 53%, draw 25%, Stade Tunisien 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Alger), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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