Bijelo Brdo 0-2 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.7pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.30/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/2.00
-1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +135% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bijelo Brdo
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Jarun
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.03.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-3 HT 1-2 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
23.02.2024 Jarun Jarun 2-2 HT 0-1 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
30.09.2023 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 0-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bijelo Brdo
0-2
AWAY Jarun
57% Ball Possession 43%
3 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bijelo Brdo vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarun beat Bijelo Brdo 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 33% — and on the day Jarun made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Bijelo Brdo had 57% of the ball to Jarun's 43%, shots finished 3-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bijelo Brdo had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bijelo Brdo and 1.00 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Bijelo Brdo vs Jarun?

Bijelo Brdo 0-2 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bijelo Brdo vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Bijelo Brdo 33%, draw 34%, Jarun 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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