Lee Man 3-1 Hong Kong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.11
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.94
Over 2.5
58%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.29
No
49%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
85%
-21.7pp
20%
Draw
9%
+11.0pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
22%
+19.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
78%
-19.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.9pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.21/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.96
+5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
558 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lee Man
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Hong Kong FC
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 2-0 HT 1-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
31.03.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-4 HT 0-2 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
11.02.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 2-1 HT 1-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
13.11.2022 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
12.12.2021 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
3-1
AWAY Hong Kong FC
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs Hong Kong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man beat Hong Kong FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lee Man had 66% of the ball to Hong Kong FC's 34%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lee Man had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Lee Man and 0.40 for Hong Kong FC.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs Hong Kong FC?

Lee Man 3-1 Hong Kong FC in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs Hong Kong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 63%, draw 20%, Hong Kong FC 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5
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HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
22 Sep 2024
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